Éxito-fracaso, Irak-Irán

Considero que el éxito-fracaso de Irak está directamente relacionado con Irán y viceversa, es decir, lo que ocurra en Irak influye en Irán. A la vez que ambos procesos de éxito deben ir conjuntos; no se conseguirá paz en Irak si en Irán no se pone el mismo proceso en marcha.
Vía Three thoughts leo esta interesante opinión de Saul Singer en The Jerusalem Post (registrarse o usar Bugmenot):

Last month there were massive demonstrations and work stoppages in the oil-rich regions, centering around the city of Ahwaz. As Iran-watcher Michael Ledeen reports, "The demonstrators called for an end to the regime, scores of people were killed, and hundreds were beaten and arrested. On May Day, workers again demonstrated against the regime, this time in all the major cities. In Tehran, strongman and likely president-in-waiting Hashemi Rafsanjani was hooted down by the crowd, and pictures of him and Supreme Leader Khamenei were torn down and trampled."

These events, largely ignored by the media, are more important than the bombs going off in Baghdad, the recent Palestinian elections, disengagement and practically everything else going on in the world today. They are the pivot on which the entire war against militant Islamism will turn. It is time we paid attention.

No sé si será más importante que los atentados en Bagdad o las elecciones palestinas, no me atrevería a decir eso. Pero, sin duda, es muy importante lo que sucede en Irán, no sólo sobre la profileración de ADM, sino los levantamientos y protestas que se producen en Irán contra el régimen. Como bien dice Singer, estos acontecimientos son el centro en la guerra contra el islamismo radical.

Put a bit less delicately, this means that the prognosis for Iran and Iraq is linked and binary: Either both nations will be free, or Iran and its terrorist allies will succeed in bringing down Iraq's nascent democracy.

On June 17, Iran is scheduled to have another "election." The people and the regime both know this will be a turning point. The people know that this may be their last chance for a while to follow the lead of the Ukranians, Lebanese and Iraqis, who came out by the millions and risked their lives for freedom (from a stolen election, from Syrian occupation, and from foreign-backed terrorists, respectively). The regime knows that if it can survive this challenge, nothing will stop its quest for the ultimate regime insurance - nuclear weapons.

Sobre "elecciones" en Irán leeros esto de Regime Change in Iran.